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AI HBM capacity investment keeps general-purpose memory shortage until 2027

Global memory supply may meet only 60 percent of demand through 2027, as capacity additions focus on AI server high-bandwidth memory and lag fast-rising demand. New production lines are largely expected to come on stream in 2027 or 2028. Analysts see limited near-term output gains and rising price pressure, with DRAM and NAND contract prices forecast to jump in 2026. Higher memory costs are increasingly reflected in device manufacturing costs and broader pricing pressure.