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Search results for Axel Adler Jr.

Crypto

Five factors for bitcoin this week, from Fed minutes to Bank of Japan and whale inflows

Bitcoin has recovered to the $64,000 range, but it ended the week trading below the 200-week simple moving average, keeping concerns about the long-term trend alive. Markets are watching whether the break is temporary or a signal of further declines. This week’s drivers include U.S. PMI data and the Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes, Japan’s rate outlook and rising bond yields, weak spot bitcoin ETF flows, and a rise in whale deposits on exchanges.

Crypto

Bitcoin short-term holders\' realized cap down 62 percent, nearing past bear market levels

Bitcoin short-term holders\' (STH) realized market capitalisation has fallen about 62 percent from its peak in October 2025. On-chain analyst Darkfost said the decline is nearing the 70 to 75 percent drops seen in past bear markets. The move suggests high-cost holdings are being cleared while new positions form at lower prices. Darkfost said more analysis is needed to judge whether the correction will extend or see another leg down.

Crypto

Stablecoin outflows extend to 35th day, drying up money to buy bitcoin

Net stablecoin outflows from exchanges have extended for 35 straight days, an analysis said, signalling weak demand for buying bitcoin. Analyst Axel Adler Jr. said two indicators tracking exchange fund flows are simultaneously pointing to soft demand. Bitcoin traded around $65,000 on July 21, but exchange supply and demand looked less resilient than the price. Stablecoin flows were weaker, with the 30-day moving average net flow falling below minus $100 million, he said.