| Mobile Web

Three paths could shape bitcoin, Arthur Hayes says Fed is key

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said the key variable for a bitcoin rebound is whether the U.S. Federal Reserve supplies liquidity. He outlined three main paths and one middle case for investors, excluding an extreme nuclear-war scenario. Hayes pointed to job shocks in the U.S. from AI, possible Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz and a U.S. move to reopen it by force. He said bitcoin could be range-bound until the Fed acts.