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Crypto

Bitcoin pauses ahead of $80,000 as Fed, war variables draw focus

Bitcoin closed weekly trading above its 21-week exponential moving average for the first time since October 2025, putting attention on whether it can retake $80,000. Analysts cited $79,000 and $73,000 as key levels and said liquidations could add volatility. Markets are also watching the path of a U.S.-Iran war and a series of Federal Reserve events. Some on-chain analysis pointed to institutional demand supporting the downside.

Crypto

XRP must top $1.53 to confirm breakout; on-chain signals warn of selling pressure

XRP has room for further gains on technical charts, but on-chain indicators point to selling pressure that could block a breakout. XRP is testing the top of a falling channel and hovering near the 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages around $1.40 to $1.41, with a cup-and-handle pattern forming. Exchange net position change surged, and about 1.16 billion XRP is clustered at $1.45 to $1.46, creating resistance.

Crypto

Bitcoin $40,000 drop? On-chain analyst says it is statistically almost unprecedented

On-chain analyst James Check pushed back against market forecasts that bitcoin could fall to $40,000, calling the scenario statistically almost unprecedented. He said such a level would sit at the 0.4th percentile of the historical distribution for daily closes when measured with a mean reversion index that combines key on-chain indicators. Check compared $40,000 under current conditions to bitcoin trading below $2 in 2011, while noting probabilities are never zero.