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Search results for Axel Adler Jr

Crypto

Bitcoin nears one year without new record high; this cycle could move faster

Bitcoin is approaching 365 days without setting a new all-time high, an analyst wrote. Crypto analyst Darkfost said the usual pattern of fresh peaks soon after a halving appears to be weakening in the current cycle. Using data from CryptoQuant and Axel Adler Jr, he estimated the next halving around April 2028. Data he cited show the time from one cycle peak to the next all-time high has been shrinking, though he warned the pattern may not repeat.

Crypto

Five factors for bitcoin this week, from Fed minutes to Bank of Japan and whale inflows

Bitcoin has recovered to the $64,000 range, but it ended the week trading below the 200-week simple moving average, keeping concerns about the long-term trend alive. Markets are watching whether the break is temporary or a signal of further declines. This week’s drivers include U.S. PMI data and the Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes, Japan’s rate outlook and rising bond yields, weak spot bitcoin ETF flows, and a rise in whale deposits on exchanges.

Crypto

Bitcoin short-term holders\' realized cap down 62 percent, nearing past bear market levels

Bitcoin short-term holders\' (STH) realized market capitalisation has fallen about 62 percent from its peak in October 2025. On-chain analyst Darkfost said the decline is nearing the 70 to 75 percent drops seen in past bear markets. The move suggests high-cost holdings are being cleared while new positions form at lower prices. Darkfost said more analysis is needed to judge whether the correction will extend or see another leg down.