About 84.1 percent of traders on prediction-market platform Polymarket failed to make profits, an analysis showed. Fewer than 1 in 6 traders were profitable, down from about 40 percent two years ago, as new users joined around the November 2024 U.S. election, the analyst said. Profits were concentrated at the top, with less than 0.04 percent of wallet addresses taking more than $3.7 billion, or over 70 percent of realised gains.

Bitcoin has recovered to the $75,000 range, lifting expectations for further gains. It rose to $76,120 on April 15, its highest since Feb. 6. Analysts cited a potential breakout from an ascending triangle pattern, with $80,000 seen as the next psychological resistance and a pattern target of $89,050 if it breaks higher. On-chain indicators improved, including higher transaction counts and fees, while traders watch $76,000 and $75,000 levels.