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CLARITY Act passage odds fall from 75 percent to 60 percent on Senate schedule, stablecoin issues

The odds of the U.S. Congress passing the CLARITY Act in 2026 have fallen to 60 percent from 75 percent, reflecting a tighter Senate calendar and delays tied to ethics and illicit finance issues. Galaxy Digital lowered its forecast, citing limited time before the August recess and the need for 60 Senate votes. Disputes over stablecoin rewards and unfinished work to merge committee revisions also weigh on progress.