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Galaxy Research cuts odds of U.S. CLARITY bill passing in 2026; July vote seen as turning point

Galaxy Digital's research unit cut its estimate for the U.S. CLARITY bill becoming law this year to 50 percent from 60 percent, citing delays in the Senate calendar and legislative procedures. It said the assessment of the bill itself had not changed. The bill cleared the Senate Banking Committee in May but has no floor vote scheduled. Work is under way to merge drafts involving the Banking and Agriculture committees, and time is limited ahead of the Senate’s late July to August recess.