[DigitalToday reporter Yoonseo Lee] An analysis says XRP could outperform Bitcoin by up to 13 times in the next bull market.

On June 22, blockchain outlet The Crypto Basic said the key variable is whether XRP can break above the upper resistance of a descending triangle that has persisted for years on the XRP/BTC chart.

Based on recent market moves alone, XRP has clearly underperformed Bitcoin. XRP hit 0.000030680 BTC in July 2025 and has remained weak since. Over the 10 months from August 2025 to May 2026, it fell on a monthly basis 8 times, while the only rising months were November 2025, up 4.06 percent, and May 2026, up 1.12 percent. Over that period, XRP/BTC fell 32 percent, from 0.00002610 to 0.000017680.

Market analyst Geral Quitschker said the weakness could instead become a catalyst for the next upcycle. He said XRP/BTC is now very close to the end of the long-term descending triangle and he sees a high chance of an upside breakout in the near term. That breakout potential is effectively the only basis for his view that XRP could outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market.

In his scenario, XRP/BTC rises 13 times from current levels to reach 0.00022984 BTC. He said that level would mark a recovery to XRP's all-time high versus Bitcoin. If Bitcoin is $64,000, XRP would be worth $14.7. He also said that if Bitcoin rises above $200,000, XRP could deliver a 20 times return on its own.

The chart backdrop goes further back. The long-term downtrend line in XRP/BTC formed after the peak of 0.0002298 BTC in January 2018. XRP then posted a series of lower highs, and in January 2021 it slid to 0.000006180 BTC, a 97 percent plunge. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's lawsuit against Ripple in December 2020 also deepened the decline, and XRP fell about 77 percent in just one month at the time.

XRP also remained below that long-term resistance line for years. The turning point was a rally in November 2025 that was sparked after U.S. President Donald Trump's election win. XRP then attempted for the first time to break above the top of the triangle and rose to 0.00003412 BTC in January 2025. But it was pushed back by resistance in that zone and fell for four straight months from February to May 2025. In the rebound that followed, XRP climbed again to $3.6 and 0.00003059 BTC in July 2025, but it retreated once more and has now fallen to around 0.00001768 BTC.

The market has also produced similar views. Another analyst, Austin, said XRP could be more than 500 percent stronger than Bitcoin in the next bull market. He said a falling wedge pattern has formed on the weekly XRP/BTC chart and he expects a breakout could lift it to 0.0001 BTC.

Ultimately, the key to this forecast lies not in the price itself but in XRP/BTC relative strength. XRP has continued to underperform Bitcoin in recent months, but analysts are focusing on signs it has entered the final stage of a long-term bearish pattern. Whether XRP breaks above the long-term resistance line or is blocked again remains a variable that could determine its performance versus Bitcoin in the next bull market.

Technically, $XRP is positioned to outperform Bitcoin significantly in a bull market. Based on the XRP/ BTC chart, $XRP could rise roughly 13x more than Bitcoin from current levels. If Bitcoin surpasses $200,000, $XRP could very comfortably deliver a 20x return. pic.twitter.com/w1FZZVe06n