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Crypto

Grayscale says bitcoin may have bottomed earlier than four-year cycle

Grayscale has raised the possibility that bitcoin may have hit its bottom earlier than the timing implied by the traditional four-year cycle. Grayscale Research head Zach Pandl said bitcoin is becoming a mature asset and is increasingly influenced by macroeconomic variables, including the Federal Reserve\'s rate decisions. He said bitcoin may already have bottomed if the Fed does not raise rates and economic growth holds. Regulatory uncertainty remains a risk.

Crypto

Long-term holders are not selling, why views differ on Bitcoin cycle bottom

Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders has reached a record high, prompting expectations that this market cycle’s bottom could form sooner than expected. Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten cited on-chain data showing long-term holder balances at an all-time high. Others see the bottom later, with Rabbit Mining Pool founder Zhang Zhuoer projecting an October-to-December 2026 low near $42,000 to $44,000. Grayscale and Galaxy Digital flagged uncertainty over the U.S. Clarity Act.