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Crypto

Three paths could shape bitcoin, Arthur Hayes says Fed is key

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said the key variable for a bitcoin rebound is whether the U.S. Federal Reserve supplies liquidity. He outlined three main paths and one middle case for investors, excluding an extreme nuclear-war scenario. Hayes pointed to job shocks in the U.S. from AI, possible Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz and a U.S. move to reopen it by force. He said bitcoin could be range-bound until the Fed acts.

Crypto

U.S. Treasury yields may top 5 percent; what it means for bitcoin

Bitcoin has shown strength during the U.S.-Iran war, but investors are growing uneasy as U.S. Treasury yields surge. The 10-year yield hit 4.42 percent, a nine-month high, and other maturities also rose as oil-driven inflation reduces the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Some analysts see the 10-year yield rising as high as 6.4 percent, which could weigh on risk assets including bitcoin and equities.

Crypto

Bitcoin at $1 million: Exaggeration or future? Experts cite key variable

A projection that bitcoin could reach $1 million over the long term has resurfaced, hinging on whether it can increase its share of the global store-of-value market, analysts say. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan said the key is bitcoin’s role in preserving global wealth, not short-term market cycles. Other industry figures have echoed similar targets, while analysts stress the scenario would take years and require broader institutional adoption and clearer regulation.