[Digital Today reporter Yoonseo Lee (이윤서)] XRP has fallen below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA) on the daily chart, pushing both short- and medium-term trends into bearish territory.

On July 18, blockchain outlet The Crypto Basic reported that XRP traded around $1.0863 and stayed below the four major EMAs.

The current setup is drawing attention because it is close to what traders call an "EMA waterfall". When the price drops below key moving averages, areas that previously acted as support can turn into resistance. Even if XRP rebounds in the short term, it faces multiple resistance levels it must clear in sequence.

The nearest resistance is the 20-day EMA at $1.1004. For buying interest to form a meaningful recovery, the price must first move back above that level and hold there on a daily closing basis. Above that are the 50-day EMA at $1.1487 and the 100-day EMA at $1.2446. The 200-day EMA, a medium- to long-term baseline, stands at $1.4502 and is seen as the biggest resistance on the current chart.

The decline that has continued since the start of the year is also clear. On Jan. 6, XRP slipped below $2.34 and broke below the 200-day EMA, and the next day it fell under $2.22 and also lost the 100-day EMA. Short-term lines held on for a few more days, but on Jan. 18 it broke below the 20-day EMA at $2.05 and the 50-day EMA at $2.07 in turn. A few weeks later it briefly regained the 20-day and 50-day lines, but recently it has been pushed back below them.

Technically, bearish signals and rebound attempts are appearing at the same time. XRP has already moved above the upper trendline of a descending triangle formed after a peak near $2.50 in January 2026, but that has not immediately led to a trend reversal. In mid-May, XRP also rose above $1.43 and briefly moved above the upper trendline, but buying interest failed to sustain momentum and the price slipped back into the pattern.

A second breakout attempt came on July 14, and this time it succeeded in moving above the upper trendline. But on July 15 it fell back below the 20-day EMA and the 50-day EMA. That leaves mixed signals in the market. The EMA structure points to a continuing bearish trend, but the break above the triangle’s upper boundary is still holding.

For that reason, the key short-term support narrows to $1.06, where the upper trendline of the descending triangle passes. If XRP closes below this level on a daily basis, it could be interpreted as a bearish signal of returning inside the triangle. In that case, the next major support zone was presented at between $0.75 and $0.80.

By contrast, the starting point for a rebound scenario is a recovery to $1.1004. XRP can begin a meaningful recovery only after it moves back above the 20-day EMA, and it would still need to clear resistance from the upper trendline and the 50-day EMA formed in the $1.10 to $1.15 range. From the current price of $1.0863 to the 200-day EMA at $1.4502, a gap of about 33.5 percent remains. Even if it reaches the 200-day EMA, that would not immediately confirm a trend reversal, and it would need to sustain gains above it to translate into a change in the medium- to long-term trend.

This move is notable because it combines a break below the full range of key EMAs with a triangle breakout, rather than a simple price decline. With rebound and bearish signals overlapping, whether XRP holds $1.06 support and reclaims the 20-day EMA remains a key variable for the short-term direction.