| Mobile Web

U.S. prediction market reshapes amid regulation, Kalshi takes 89 percent share

Kalshi, a federally regulated U.S. prediction market, has taken an estimated 89 percent share of trading volume, cementing its lead as the competitive landscape reshapes around regulatory status. Weekly market volume rose 4 percent, while Kalshi’s volume increased 6 percent, a Bank of America report showed. Polymarket held 7 percent and Crypto.com 4 percent, with Polymarket’s volume down 16 percent. Legal disputes and CFTC litigation could determine whether the market expands nationwide or fragments by state.