The key this earnings season is that AI investment plans, rather than profit size, will shape the market’s reaction. [Photo: Shutterstock]

Earnings reports from major U.S. Big Tech companies have emerged as a key variable that could determine the crypto market’s short-term direction this week.

On April 26, blockchain outlet BeInCrypto reported that as the linkage between digital assets and tech stocks has risen sharply, earnings from five companies including Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon and Apple could directly affect the crypto market, including bitcoin.

Under the schedule, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Amazon will release first-quarter results after the close on April 29, with Apple to follow on April 30. The market’s focus is on AI-related capital spending plans rather than headline earnings figures.

Investment levels at major companies are already at record highs. Meta set its 2026 capital expenditure target at $115 billion to as much as $135 billion, at least 59 percent higher than a year earlier. Microsoft is expected to invest about $146 billion in AI and cloud infrastructure. Alphabet is expected to maintain or increase spending plans of up to $185 billion, while Amazon is expected to keep or expand plans around $200 billion. Their AI investment is estimated to exceed $160 billion in this quarter alone.

Such large-scale capital spending is fueling both expectations and concerns in the market. Investors appear more sensitive to whether returns on investment can be maintained than to earnings themselves.

The crypto market has already shown signs of moving in tandem with Big Tech results. Since the start of this year, the correlation between bitcoin and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 has risen significantly, reaching as high as 0.75 in some stretches in early 2026. That suggests a structure in which stock-market sentiment is reflected more quickly in crypto prices has strengthened.

That linkage has already been confirmed once. In January, after Microsoft released earnings, concerns about the burden of AI investment grew and the stock plunged in after-hours trading. Bitcoin also slipped to the low $80,000s the same day. The market believes a similar reaction could be repeated if any of the five companies disappoints on profitability relative to capital spending.

Conversely, there is also a view that if earnings and investment plans meet or exceed expectations, demand for risk assets could spread across stocks and crypto. If expanded AI investment is interpreted as a growth signal, liquidity could flow back into risk assets.

In the end, the key variable for markets this week is expected to be Big Tech’s AI investment stance and investors’ interpretation of it, rather than earnings numbers themselves. Attention is focused on whether bitcoin will continue to respond more sensitively to global tech-stock sentiment than to on-chain indicators.

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#Bitcoin #Nasdaq 100 #Microsoft #Alphabet #Meta
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