[Digital Today reporter Yeseul Kim (김예슬)] XRP has reached a long-term technical turning point, drawing heightened investor attention.

Cointelegraph reported on Thursday that crypto analyst ChartNerd warned most retail investors are unlikely to withstand the coming correction phase. XRP recently rebounded to $1.60 and is trading around $1.45, maintaining short-term strength. New chart analysis suggests the road ahead may not be smooth.

ChartNerd said XRP has entered a multi-year period of forming a "triangle crossroads." This is where a long-term rising support line meets a falling resistance line, and it is expected to face a decisive moment around the fourth quarter of 2026. Such a structure forms ahead of a major breakout, but there could be a final correction before a full-fledged rise. XRP could fall to $0.70 to $0.80 and then jump sevenfold to break above $10, the analysis showed.

Gaussian channel analysis also supports that view. Historically, when XRP reaches the top of the Gaussian channel, it tends to correct to the middle band. In the current cycle, XRP has already touched the upper band, but the middle band is around $0.73. ChartNerd stressed that this pattern is likely to repeat even if there is short-term volatility.

ChartNerd said short-term volatility or an uptrend could continue in March, but he pointed to historical patterns, saying "history often rhymes," suggesting the correction phase may still be incomplete.

XRP has recently posted a strong rebound but has failed to break through resistance at $1.80, $2.00 and $2.40, highlighting structural limitations. If a correction unfolds, a decline below $1 cannot be ruled out. With XRP stabilising below $1.50, investors are focused on whether additional upside momentum will form.