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Gartner warns AI overconfidence to cause most 2026 mainframe migration projects to fall short

More than 70 percent of mainframe migration projects launched this year will fail to deliver targeted results because organisations overestimate the capabilities of generative AI tools, Gartner warned on June 18. It also forecasts that 75 percent of vendors active in the mainframe migration market will change their business models or cease operations by 2030 as expectations are tempered and demand for uniform migration solutions declines.