[DigitalToday reporter Yoonseo Lee] An analysis has suggested that XRP could reach $10 between December 2026 and February 2027.

The Crypto Basic, a blockchain outlet, reported on June 8 that market analyst Celal Kucuker (셀랄 퀴쥐케르) presented this trajectory as the most realistic scenario among current XRP charts.

The forecast came as XRP investor sentiment has deteriorated sharply during a recent, broader market correction. XRP's year-to-date loss has widened to 38 percent, but Kucuker saw room for a medium- to long-term rise to $10 even if short-term weakness persists.

The key basis is an up-channel that has lasted more than 6 years. After XRP slid to as low as $0.11 in March 2020, it formed a recovery trend on the monthly chart. It has since moved between a lower support line and an upper resistance line. The lower support line shows steadily rising lows, while the upper resistance line shows gradually rising highs, keeping the channel structure intact, the report said.

XRP rose to $1.96 in April 2021, then faced a pullback after being blocked by the upper resistance line. It later tested the same resistance zone at $3.4 in January 2025 and $3.6 in July 2025 but failed to break through. Kucuker said this repeated action formed the up-channel and that the pattern has historically led to further gains in XRP.

He pointed out that rebounds appeared each time the price slid to the lower trend line and was followed by a surge to higher highs. He also noted that $1.96 in April 2021, $3.4 in January 2025 and $3.6 in July 2025 all emerged within the same structure.

Based on this trend, Kucuker expected XRP could first fall further to $0.87. That area overlaps the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the lower support line, meaning XRP could test the lower trend line again in the current downtrend.

He said the likelihood of a rebound is high after the correction ends. Kucuker said if buying power regains strength in that area, XRP could rebound to recoup losses from recent months and then aim for higher levels. Calling the chart the most realistic XRP chart in the current market, he suggested a rise toward $10 could appear between December 2026 and February 2027.

The market is focusing on the fact that the outlook includes both near-term downside and the possibility of a medium- to long-term rebound. A key point to watch will be whether XRP actually falls to around $0.87 to confirm support, or rebounds earlier than expected and tests the top of the channel again.

The most realistic $XRP chart suggests that a move to $10 could happen between December 2026 and February 2027. If XRP can establish and hold above $10, the sky's the limit. pic.twitter.com/D0noRxJC0t