XRP has re-entered a monthly relative strength index (RSI) oversold zone that has appeared only four times in 13 years.

On June 2, blockchain outlet The Crypto Basic reported that market analyst Cryptollica said XRP’s monthly RSI had dropped below 43, indicating it had entered a highly unusual undervalued area.

The signal came as XRP again faced broad market bearish pressure. XRP recovered to around $1.55 in mid-May but turned lower and slid to $1.36 on May 28. It later climbed back above $1.36 in line with a market rebound, but the upward momentum did not last. In June, it fell to $1.20.

Cryptollica said the zone could instead be a precursor to an upward rally. Monthly RSI below 43 has appeared only three times since XRP was listed, and this is the fourth time.

In past cases, the first entry into the zone was in January 2017. XRP’s price fell to $0.003 at the time. The second was March 2020, when the price dropped to $0.1140, which was recorded as the bottom of that bear market. The third was June 2022. XRP slid to $0.2870, and the monthly RSI fell to 43.91.

This time, the same zone has reappeared exactly 4 years later. The current monthly RSI is 43.72, lower than the readings in June 2022 and March 2020. At the same time, the price low is higher than in the past. XRP hit $1.20 in this decline, and Cryptollica assessed that each time XRP reached this zone, the bottom price was higher than before.

What market participants are watching is what comes next. After the January 2017 signal, XRP rose to $3.31 in January 2018, gaining more than 110,000 percent. After March 2020, it climbed 1,628 percent to $1.96 in April 2021. After the June 2022 case, it also rose 1,084 percent to $3.4 in January 2025.

Cryptollica described the three earlier signals as "not a typical move" and said they "appeared near major cycle reset zones". He argued each case came just before a bull market restarted.

Even so, it cannot be taken for granted that the past pattern will repeat exactly this time. Still, if the same move is reproduced, it has been suggested that XRP could surpass its all-time high (ATH) of $3.66.

In this situation, the market has two key points to watch. They are whether the current monthly oversold signal leads to an actual bottom and whether the recent weakness remains a short-term correction. With XRP already in a rare zone, its future price reaction is expected to determine the meaning of this signal.

XRP IS BACK IN A ZONE IT HAS ONLY SEEN 4 TIMES IN 13 YEARS Monthly RSI has reached this deep reset zone only four times in XRP’s entire market history. The previous three were not normal pullbacks. They appeared near major cycle reset zones. This is not a fan club. Four… pic.twitter.com/481Nr4ifaN