[DigitalToday reporter Yoonseo Lee] XRP has posted monthly declines for six straight months, extending a weak trend. Crypto analyst EGRAG Crypto (이그랙 크립토) presented trading rules to prepare for the possibility of further losses.

On April 1 (local time), blockchain media outlet The Crypto Basic reported that XRP fell 2.63 percent in March 2026. It is down about 26 percent year-to-date in the downturn that began in October 2025.

EGRAG said XRP's downward trend remains in place. He said he would wait for signals rather than move on speculation, and explained that even when XRP traded at $2 he did not conclude it would rise further because there was no confirmation of a breakout.

XRP rebounded from $1.84 in early 2026 to regain $2, and climbed as high as $2.41 on Jan. 6, rising 31 percent in less than a week. But it failed to post a close above the rising trendline that had turned into resistance from December 2025, and then fell again as broader market weakness set in. As a result, the decline from the Jan. 6 peak widened to as much as 45.6 percent.

EGRAG argued that a macro bottom for XRP has also not yet been confirmed. He described the recent rebound as a temporary relief rally and said a trend change could be confirmed only if it regains $2 on a monthly closing basis. XRP fell to $1.1 on Feb. 6, marking the lowest price in this downturn, but he said that level still cannot be confirmed as a bottom. Other analysts, including Casi and Chart Nerd, have mentioned the possibility that XRP drops below $1 and falls to $0.7 to $0.9.

He said some retail investors sold around $2.60 and have since hesitated to re-enter at lower levels as market sentiment deteriorated. He said he sold part of his holdings at $3 under a plan set in advance and would buy more if the price falls further. He also kept targets of $15, $27 and above $50, and said that based on the then price of $1.31 those would require gains of about 1,045 percent, 1,961 percent and 3,716 percent, respectively.

The key question is how XRP moves at psychological support and major resistance zones. If it remains only a relief rally without confirming a bottom, downside pressure could continue, but if it regains key price levels on a monthly closing basis the bearish scenario may be adjusted again.

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