XRP is trading around $1.36, with its downtrend continuing since November 2025, blockchain media outlet BeInCrypto said on March 27.

XRP's declines are easing each time, but continued selling by whales is limiting any rebound. Glassnode's net unrealised profit/loss (NUPL) indicator shows short-term holders selling as soon as their losses start to shrink. After NUPL recovered to -0.06 in November 2025, -0.003 in January 2026, -0.80 in February and -0.31 in March, selling repeatedly resumed. This is further intensifying selling pressure.

Selling by whales is also a problem. Large wallets holding 100 million to 1 billion XRP fell to 8.29 billion tokens from 9.61 billion in October 2025. Over six months, 1.32 billion XRP were released into the market, adding to anxiety among short-term holders. The selling has entrenched the downtrend pattern and is a key factor blocking a short-term rebound.

Still, an RSI divergence has emerged, raising the prospect of a short-term rebound. From Dec. 31, 2025 to March 26, 2026, XRP made lower lows while the RSI rose. It is similar to a pattern that previously led to a 21 percent rebound. If XRP breaks above $1.36, it could rise to $1.50, but it is likely to fall again at that level.

For this rebound to become a genuine trend reversal rather than another low, XRP needs to regain $1.60, its most recent high. The explanation is that only above that level would the lower-limit structure be broken.

If XRP fails to hold $1.36, $1.29 and $1.20 could become issues, it said. Those levels signal that the current bottom has not yet formed and that the loss-realisation cycle needs to progress further. BeInCrypto said $1.36 is a key turning point that will determine whether XRP sees an 11 percent rebound or further declines.