XRP could rise to $20 to $25 if it rebounds from support at the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA), blockchain outlet The Crypto Basic reported on Monday local time.

XRP has fallen 51 percent since the fourth quarter of 2025 and is 62 percent below its record high of $3.6. Analysts, however, say XRP is now nearing a strong support level.

In a recent analysis, EGRAG Crypto highlighted a pattern in which XRP surged after forming a bottom at 100 EMA support. In the first quarter of 2017, XRP traded around the 100 EMA and climbed to $3.31 from $0.0056, delivering a 59,000 percent return. In 2021, XRP also rebounded from 100 EMA support and rose to $1.96. EGRAG said XRP could be likely to repeat the same pattern at about $1.38.

That the 100 EMA acted as a bottom in 2 separate cycles shows history could repeat, EGRAG said. XRP is trading at about $1.38, and the analyst said it is once again approaching the same macro support level.

Based on Fibonacci extensions, EGRAG presented 2 scenarios. The first is a move similar to 2021, with a rise to $6 to $9. The second is a repeat of the 2017 bull market, reaching $20 to $25. EGRAG added that the second scenario would require strong liquidity rotation in the altcoin market and late-stage bull-market momentum.

XRP is currently trading in the middle-to-lower range of a long-term rising channel, and a strong rebound is expected given past patterns. Market volatility and liquidity flows are expected to be key.