[DigitalToday reporter Jinju Hong (홍진주)] Discussion is growing over the possibility of a long-term revaluation of XRP, based on it holding about 3.13 percent of the overall cryptocurrency market. Some forecasts say that if the overall market expands sharply and XRP maintains its current share, its market value and price could rise substantially. Others say the premise is uncertain and caution against simple calculations.

DeCrypt reported on July 14 local time that the total cryptocurrency market is currently about $2.15 trillion. XRP’s market capitalisation was tallied at $66.74 billion and its price at $1.06.

On that basis, XRP ranks sixth by market capitalisation, behind Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, BNB and USDC. Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency with a market value above $1 trillion, and only Ethereum and Tether are holding above $100 billion.

Some in the market have also raised an optimistic view that the overall cryptocurrency market could grow to $100 trillion over the long term. Under that scenario, if Bitcoin is assumed to account for more than half of the market, its market value would exceed $50 trillion and its price could rise to more than $2.5 million per coin.

Under the same assumption, the rest of the altcoin market would total about $50 trillion. Optimists say that if XRP maintains its current 3.13 percent market share, its market value could also rise sharply as the overall market expands.

That is a theoretical calculation based on the assumption that both the overall market size and XRP’s share remain intact at the same time. In reality, its market share could fall, or it could rise again in a bull market as it has in the past.

XRP’s market share has expanded far beyond current levels in past bull markets. In January 2025, it was 5.58 percent, and in July that year it rose to 5.52 percent. It also exceeded 6 percent in the 2021 bull market, and at one point climbed to 31 percent in 2017 and about 20 percent in 2014.

Those records underpin expectations that XRP can grow faster in size during a broader market upswing. At last year’s bull-market peak, Bitcoin’s market value exceeded $2 trillion, Ethereum’s reached $500 billion, and XRP’s expanded to more than $210 billion.

The market values of the three assets are now all down more than 50 percent from those peaks. Expectations remain that the market could enter another bullish phase, but some point out that recovering previous highs and expanding market share are separate issues.

Risk factors in long-term forecasts are also clear. DeCrypt cited cases in which some established cryptocurrencies slipped in market-cap rankings after being pushed aside by newer projects such as Hyperliquid, DeXe and VVV. That means it is hard to be certain that XRP will keep its current top-tier position for a long time.

Ultimately, the upper end of XRP’s long-term price depends on how much the overall cryptocurrency market grows and how much share XRP maintains in the process. If the total market expands to $100 trillion and XRP holds its current share or levels seen in past bull markets, a sharp rise in value is possible. But with both conditions highly uncertain, the analysis says a cautious approach is needed when converting current figures into future prices through simple arithmetic.