OpenAI has begun reflecting Kalshi’s FIFA World Cup prediction-market probabilities in ChatGPT search results, blockchain outlet Cointelegraph reported on July 14. The integration is known as OpenAI’s first collaboration with a prediction-market platform.
The feature shows each team’s chances of winning in graphic form when users search for World Cup matchups. The probabilities are calculated based on Kalshi market prices. In an example presented by The New York Times, a search result for France vs Spain showed France’s win probability at 59 percent, while a search result for England vs Argentina showed England’s win probability at 55 percent. The prediction source was listed as Kalshi.
It is not structured to allow betting directly inside ChatGPT. An OpenAI notice specified that Kalshi data is "limited to informational purposes," and no user trading function was added. Kalshi also did not issue a statement, and OpenAI did not immediately respond to a separate query.
Kalshi is a regulated prediction-market platform that allows trading in contracts linked to real-world events such as economic indicators, politics and sports. Its presence in the prediction-market industry has also grown quickly. Kalshi’s monthly notional trading volume exceeded $33 billion in June 2026, according to Dune Analytics. That was about $22 billion more than Polymarket.
The integration also aligns with a trend of technology and media companies incorporating prediction-market data into consumer services. Kalshi partnered with CNN and CNBC in December 2025 to include its market data in news services, and rival Polymarket teamed up with Dow Jones in January 2026 to begin providing prediction-market data to a product lineup that includes The Wall Street Journal.
Google also integrated prediction-market data from Kalshi and Polymarket into Google Finance and its search products starting in November 2025. Prediction-market information is therefore showing a trend of spreading beyond trading platforms into search, news and AI interfaces.
OpenAI’s move is also connected to a push to expand ChatGPT from a simple question-and-answer tool into a real-time information search channel. In particular, it has begun showing market-based probabilities immediately in areas with high user interest such as sports, drawing attention to whether the scope could expand to other event data. At the current stage, however, it remains limited to providing reference information in search results, and does not connect to actual trading or betting functions.