A forecast has emerged that XRP could move by spiking over a short period rather than rising gradually.

On June 18 local time, blockchain outlet The Crypto Basic reported that Versan Aljarrah (버산 알자라), founder of Blackswan Capitalist, argued that if real-world uses for XRP expand, its price could take the form of a "short-term spike" rather than a "gentle upward slope".

Aljarrah cited cross-border payments, tokenisation and institutional demand as long-term growth drivers for XRP. He said that if regulatory clarity, adoption by banks, expanded tokenisation and increased cross-border payment volume align, the price could jump sharply over a short stretch rather than rise slowly, given that related infrastructure is already in place. "XRP won’t climb in a nice steady line, but will instead show violent leaps," he said.

Aljarrah also said that if market conditions fall into place at once, gains could exceed the usual doubling or tripling. He cited previously trapped liquidity, the unwinding of short positions and the possibility of simultaneous entry by institutional investors. If those factors combine at a single point in time, multiple sharp rallies could appear over a relatively short period, he argued.

That view also continued in a podcast conversation with cryptocurrency analyst Edo Farina. Aljarrah defined XRP as payment infrastructure for a new digital economy. He said that as tokenisation of real-world assets (RWA) grows, demand for efficient payment networks will also increase.

Aljarrah also argued that if blockchain networks take on such roles, they could follow a growth path that depends less on short-term moves across the broader cryptocurrency market. He said limits in traditional banking systems are being exposed, and in those changes, networks such as XRP, Stellar (XLM) and Hedera (HBAR) are designed to be suited for fast, low-cost cross-border payments and tokenisation of real-world assets.

Aljarrah said the transition will not be completed in a short time and that volatility will be high. He said that infrastructure has been quietly built and tested since 10 years ago, but the actual market response still does not fully reflect long-term expectations.

Recent price action has also been mixed. According to CoinMarketCap, XRP traded at $1.14, down 3.45 percent over 24 hours. It posted a slight rise over the past week, but fell 16 percent over the past month and was down about 36 percent so far this year.

As a result, debate is continuing in the market over the gap between XRP’s long-term potential use cases and its short-term price performance. Whether tokenisation and institutional adoption will translate into real demand, and when the regulatory environment and growth in payment volume will be reflected in the price, remain points to watch.

XRP won’t climb in a nice steady line. It’s going to climb in violent leaps. Once real utility flips on, regulatory clarity, banks actually using it, and cross-border + tokenization volume exploding, the price action is going to get crazy and non-linear. The infrastructure has… pic.twitter.com/kwkQARJ6Js