Jim Cramer warned investors they should not completely liquidate stocks even in an unstable market.
On Oct. 14, CNBC reported that Cramer said leaving the market could cause investors to miss a future rebound.
U.S. stocks closed lower on the day amid inflation worries. The S&P 500 fell 1.1 percent, the Nasdaq dropped 1.9 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.1 percent. An analysis said investor fatigue is growing as even solid corporate earnings fail to support the market.
Cramer said overlapping uncertainty over inflation, interest rates and the war involving Iran has made the market’s next move difficult to predict. He said people may feel like they want to throw everything away and go home, but cautioned against hastily leaving the market. "Will you be able to buy back in to catch the 10 trading days when a large share of annual returns is made?" he said. "I think it would be hard."
Cramer also cited past data. JPMorgan said an investor who put $10,000 into the S&P 500 from 2005 to 2024 and missed the 10 trading days with the highest returns ended with less than half the final assets of someone who stayed invested. It said trying to avoid short-term losses but missing major rebound moments can sharply reduce long-term returns.
The U.S. consumer price index for September rose 0.6 percent from the previous month, matching market expectations, but was up 3.7 percent from a year earlier, above the expected 3.6 percent. Treasury yields rose immediately after the data and later turned lower, as market reactions diverged. Rising oil prices also added to concerns about the possibility of additional Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Cramer said if the war involving Iran ends and oil prices plunge, inflation pressures could ease without the Fed having to raise rates further. Corporate earnings also failed to provide a clear direction. Morgan Stanley reported solid quarterly results but its shares fell about 3 percent. Chip equipment maker ASML offered strong results and a demand outlook, but its shares fell about 4 percent.
Cramer said it is hard to have conviction about investing when both economic indicators and corporate earnings fail to provide clear signals. Even so, he stressed investors should be wary of selling all their stocks. He said that even if investors avoid further declines, missing the moment of a rebound could mean losing a bigger opportunity in the long run.