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Tesla Q3 delivery forecasts diverge, seen at 420,000 to 482,000

Wall Street forecasts for Tesla\'s 2026 third-quarter vehicle deliveries vary widely, with estimates ranging from 421,758 to 482,000 units, a gap of more than 60,000. Tesla is set to report third-quarter production and delivery results on Oct. 2 but has not disclosed its own analyst consensus. Some institutions have recently lowered their estimates, citing weak August sales in the United States and China. Most forecasts also imply declines from both a year earlier and the prior quarter.